יום חמישי, 4 בפברואר 2016

Who Won the War? Understanding the Enemy

Who Won the War? Understanding the Enemy

In every conflict, being a military one, or the enhancement of a political dispute [it was once stated by an 18th century British diplomat that diplomacy is a continuation of a military conflict and a military conflict  is a natural result of diplomacy], a family  quarrel or a hostile takeover of a company, a basic principle is “to understand the enemy”, the disputant, the other side. This understanding is divided to two. How does side A understands side B, and - not less important – what does side A know of side B’s understanding of side A. 
As, if side A will know how side B understands it, side A will be able to conceal weaknesses, to overcome misunderstandings or to challenge complaints and demands issued by side B.

In 1957 it was the ousted US ambassador to Indonesia John Allison who warned – following the failed attempt to topple President Sukarno that Foster and Allan Dallas “did not know Asian well and were always inclined to judge them by Western eyes”. The same was true during the first stages of World War II, it was true in Korea and in Vietnam.

When Israel vacated Gaza, government spokesmen from Sharon to Olmart claimed that the move was not a “withdrawal” from Gaza, but a strategic move based on reasons that were never disclosed. There was not a single man in Gaza who believed the Israelis. All – but literary – all -  believed that the terrorist attacks had their results. Terror forced Israel to withdraw. This was a repetition of a similar mistake from the past. When Z.H.L. withdrew from Lebanon in the year 2000 abandoning the Christian Sadal militia to the mercy of its worst enemies, Ehud Barak – the one who planned the hasty withdrawal, tried to explain its strategic importance and that Israel was withdrawing out of strength. No one in Lebanon believed Barak. All agreed with Hizzbullah’s presentation that Z.H.L. withdrew because Hizzbullaha was shedding its blood. Whose position is accurate is an irrelevant question.  What does the enemy think, is. How does the enemy’s thinking effect its movement is the important question. Indeed, Hamas and Hizzbulaha remembered what Winston Churchill stated after the withdrawal from Dunkirk; “Wars are not won by evacuations”.  It was true then,  It is true now.

“Death and Life are in the power of the tongue”  wrote King Solomon.  Today we are facing an exploding mountain. At the outset in Gaza, and not to far away, in Lebanon as well.  True, Palestinians on the border are fleeing, frightened from the day Z.H.L. will respond.  But what does He who is a member of Hamas or Islamic Jihad think about shelling Shderoth in the Nagev. He claims that this is “a wining answer”.  Is terror winning? So far it is.  Even the representatives of State of Israel declared in a recent Supreme Court hearing that we cannot defend Shderoth with surrounding walls.

Many listen to  this message of the representative of the State of Israel in court, and not only within the court chambers. The State admits that terror demoralizes civil life in Israel, and Israel, with all its might cannot reply properly. The fact is that terror organizations are arming themselves day and night, we witness new ammunition, Frug missiles, new Katyushas and many shahids, all smuggled through the Philadelphia route. True, the average Palestinian suffers economically. But his “brothers” in the Hamas and other organizations do not care. As Israeli economical pressure effects “life  embroidery” but not “terror embroidery”.

Z.H.L does make an effort not to hurt civilians. Mistakes due occur. Painful and tragic ones.  Alas, Hamas – as Hezbollah -  care not for civilians in neither side of the border.  The scuds and Katushas are not aimed at military bases but  at center of cities, the scud and Katushas are not launched and stored at military bases, but at and from center of cities and villages.


Can ZHL - or for that matter, any army -  conduct a war against terrorist organizations, now claiming to be “legitimate political entity'' – if Israel’s civilians are exposed to risks of death and destruction, while we “pick” the terrorists one by one?

The choice is “Machiavellistic”.  The US launched atom bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, as it refused the absorbed the expected casualties  to the armed forces if the US continued to fight Japan “conventionally”; The US bombed Hanoi as it failed in its efforts to fight the Vietcong and The North Vietnamese army; [this, although both militias did not fight from centers of civilian concentrations]. We do not have to elaborate on the French Legion’s behavior in Algiers; or the massive numbers of victims as a result of Nato’s fighting in Bosnia and Herzegovina; the large numbers of innocent victims in Iraq and Afghanistan who fall victim to errors, to the bullet of “the good guys”. A mistake of this US solder or this Royal Air Force bombing. 

But I do not believe that History Books can testify about a violent conflicts in which one side hides behind civilians, children and women, shooting at the civilians of its opponent, the opponent does not reciprocate in the same manner, yet, wins the war.  True, customs of war in the past differ from those of today, international law has changed.  But the law cannot apply to one side only. The Islamic Jihad was not created out of nothingness. Violence against Israel does not come from space. 

A terror organization cannot survive without  support from the population [just witness the honor bestowed to the families of Shahids who blew themselves in buses in Israel]. Study the children’s programs and cartoons available on Palestinian television, where the Shahid is the hero inviting imitation. If a television station broadcasts such barbarity, it should be destroyed. As long as the Palestinian in the streets of Gaza considers the terrorist a hero,  he will support him. During all his wars – inclusive of the civil was he conducted against  Pompeii and his party – Julius Caesar was a hero as he knew that the masses follow the victorious. There is no difference between Gaul and Gaza. When the Palestinians in Gaza will understand that Hamas loss, when he elects for himself leadership wishing  not to fight and destroy, but to develop and enhance Gaza’s tremendous potential, this will be the time when Israel and The Palestinians can make peace in dignity.  The Palestinians do have such leaders, alas they are threatens by the “barbarians at the gate” .



The support of terror, of fanaticism, must be uprooted – by force, if needs be. When ZHL abides by international law, the Hamas understands it as a weakness. They openly refused to abide by the same law, threatening suicide bombing, denying access to Gilad Shalit. And their thinking is what counts. Fighting terror with restriction will encourage the terrorists and their supporters. We have to teach the Palestinian to convert his support of terror to hatred of terror.

This is difficult and painful. But if the choice is the child in Shderot or the one in Gaza, it will have to be the one in Gaza.  We would not have to make the choice had Hamas not launched 80[!] rockets in one day – as they did last week.  When the Palestinian in Gaza will understand that supporting terror is worthless, we will all benefit.  Most of all, he himself.  

There is a war.  If we do not make it clear like the sun of day, who is the winner, we will be the losers, and terror will flourish.  If we win, we will stop sufferings, the Palestinian in the street of Gaza will stop suffering. Today he cannot understand it, being washed with Islamic extremism.  He will have to be taught the difficult and painful way. And it is painful, even for us.

Zally Jaffe

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